Is Mabi NA in danger of closing? - Your thoughts?

• Yakumo Yukari wrote on 2013-04-03 01:18
  Perhaps it's just Tarlach being Tarlach, but i've been noticing less active players.
• Xemnas wrote on 2013-04-03 01:19
  It's just tarlach, I'm seeing a constant stream of newbies in ruairi.
• makoto wrote on 2013-04-03 01:20
  I doubt it. While I'm not too sure of how much income Nexon gets from DFO, I do know that thousands of people spend money every day on Mabinogi's gacha, and guilds are proof enough that they get monthly income as well. I really REALLY don't think Nexon would go through the trouble of making this Vocaloid event happen if they were planning to shut it down in the first place.
• Yakumo Yukari wrote on 2013-04-03 01:24

  Quote from makoto;1061704:

  I doubt it. While I'm not too sure of how much income Nexon gets from DFO, I do know that thousands of people spend money every day on Mabinogi's gacha, and guilds are proof enough that they get monthly income as well. I really REALLY don't think Nexon would go through the trouble of making this Vocaloid event happen if they were planning to shut it down in the first place.

  
  
  
  How long do they plan into the future for?
• Ashikoki wrote on 2013-04-03 01:30

  Quote from Yakumo Yukari;1061711:

  How long do they plan into the future for?

  
  
  I don't think they're planning at all.
  
  They'll stop when the profit stops.
• Yakumo Yukari wrote on 2013-04-03 01:32

  Quote from Ashikoki;1061713:

  I don't think they're planning at all.
  
  They'll stop when the profit stops.

  
  
  And estimations would put that at 2-3 years?
• Ashikoki wrote on 2013-04-03 01:33

  Quote from Yakumo Yukari;1061716:

  And estimations would put that at 2-3 years?

  
  
  Those are MY estimation. I am only about half sure about it.
  
  Take it how you will. I provided my reasoning for it in the post before.
• Yakumo Yukari wrote on 2013-04-03 01:34

  Quote from Ashikoki;1061717:

  Those are MY estimation. I am only about half sure about it.
  
  Take it how you will. I provided my reasoning for it in the post before.

  
  
  What would the other 50% of you say?
• Xemnas wrote on 2013-04-03 01:37
  You worry too much.
• Luxezel wrote on 2013-04-03 01:39
  If it were to shut down, I don't think I would mind to much.
  
  But my wallet and the time I've invested sure would. I would really regret it = w=;;
• Ashikoki wrote on 2013-04-03 01:44

  Quote from Yakumo Yukari;1061719:

  What would the other 50% of you say?

  
  
  That I am wrong and it will last about 4~6 more years. If we keep cycling out Nexon games, there is a good likelihood that Dragons Nest will go before Mabinogi as well. Dragons Nest is the 3D identical equivalent to Dungeon Fighter Online.
  
  Mabi is actually already far past its reasonable point of existence. Its current survival is attributed to its uniqueness, which services a very niche audience. This position will be filled by a more up to date game within that time frame.
  
  The pleione engine is crumbling. I'm actually very impressed at devCAT's ability to keep it stable, if you can still even call it that.
• Compass wrote on 2013-04-03 01:45
  Never wasted money on Mabi, don't care. c:
• Yakumo Yukari wrote on 2013-04-03 01:49

  Quote from Ashikoki;1061726:

  That I am wrong and it will last about 4~6 more years. If we keep cycling out Nexon games, there is a good likelihood that Dragons Nest will go before Mabinogi as well. Dragons Nest is the 3D identical equivalent to Dungeon Fighter Online.
  
  Mabi is actually already far past its reasonable point of existence. Its current survival is attributed to its uniqueness, which services a very niche audience. This position will be filled by a more up to date game within that time frame.
  
  The pleione engine is crumbling. I'm actually very impressed at devCAT's ability to keep it stable, if you can still even call it that.

  
  
  For comparison's sake, what would you rate WoW or Runescape's potential survival time at?
• Johny wrote on 2013-04-03 02:03

  Quote from Yakumo Yukari;1061729:

  For comparison's sake, what would you rate WoW or Runescape's potential survival time at?

  
  
  Indefinite. Same with mabinogi. There are many, MANY factors that can influence the closure of an MMORPG. It could close within 3 years due to a Korean War or it could close within 2 months due to a fatal server error.
  
  Nobody knows for sure. Just enjoy your time in Mabinogi while you have it because once it's gone, it's gone.
  
  You can compare this with death. Don't stop living and investing in your life because you're worried you'll die tomorrow. Live life to the fullest and don't worry...Carpe Diem.
• Ashikoki wrote on 2013-04-03 02:05

  Quote from Yakumo Yukari;1061729:

  For comparison's sake, what would you rate WoW or Runescape's potential survival time at?

  
  
  Both games are giants of mmorpgs. There is no way I can really give a statement on when it will die.
  
  WoW will live an indefinite amount of time. People talk about how its dying, or how new games will kill WoW, but each expansion manages to bring WoW's subscriber counts back up to 10+ million.
  
  Blizzard will actually accurately decide when WoW has reached its peak, and release their next mmorpg before it truly declines.
  
  I've never played Runescape or know much about it. So I don't know what to say here. I know you're trying to compare them to other long lived games. I would say the difference between mmo giants like maplestory and niche games like mabinogi are just sheer numbers. Mabinogi has everything it needs, but NA's numbers are abysmal compared to KR's population.
  
  If NA Nexon sees greater opportunity costs in another source, they'll hop to it. That is why I predicted 3 years. The next wave of mmorpg's are coming around then.
  
  In arguing against my own points, there are games like Ragnarok, which has lost most of its original players but still maintains service. But Ragnarok is a very low/cheap maintenance game. It practically runs itself. I don't think Mabinogi can do the same.